Wednesday, February 25, 2015

PROPOSED DROUGHT MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN

We are coming into the Spring and Summer of 2015 with full lakes and the prospect of a fantastic setting for recreational activities throughout the basin.  Additionally there is a vibrant new feeling in the air for the future of real estate and business connected with recreational activity on the lakes.  New development money is flowing into both Lake Thurmond and Lake Hartwell. And as these develop the same thing will happen in succession for Lake Russell.  At present, because of the lack of a rational drought plan for the basin, the future success of these developments hinges to a large degree on how much rain nature has in store for our area.  This does not have to be. 

Following is a very conservative drought plan based on actual data and experience published by the Corps.  All concerns expressed by the various parties connected with managing the basin are met with this plan.  Further studies in progress may demonstrate that even further deviations from the current drought plan would be acceptable.  But the plan as presented does not require further study to prove it will work and provide good balance to all aspects of managing the basin.

Our proposed plan is:

·       Minimum release rates, until current studies show even lower rates are possible, should be maintained at 3,600cfs from Thurmond Dam

·       Maintain the same degree of flood storage space in late fall and early winter that was demonstrated to be adequate when only Thurmond was in place.  Since 4’ below full pool was adequate before Hartwell and Russell were built, 2’ is now equivalent storage due to the added space provided by Hartwell and Russell. 

·       Observing these limits for release rates and storage space, use the same degree of control demonstrated during last year’s spawning season to hold lake levels within a few inches of full pool.

 

There have been numerous claims purporting that our suggested drought plan would do damage to various aspects of the basin the corps is charged with protecting.  These arguments are overly protective.  We can show that they are baseless using simple logic and the vast amount of information gathered over the past 15 years of operation of Lake Thurmond.  For example:

·       Nature is an excellent manager of wild life, both flora and fauna.  Variation in river flows is actually beneficial compared to trying to hold the river at a constant level.  The exceptions to this are the extremes of severe drought and floods.  Keeping release rates to the river from Thurmond at or above 3600cfs protects against severe drought and lowering the lakes 2’ in late fall and early winter is adequate to protect against severe flooding.

·       Water quality from the stand point of drinking water supplies has repeatedly been acceptable with extended operation at 3600cfs.

·       Water quality from the stand point of dissolved oxygen (DO) is worst as you reach the lower stretches of the river.  DO measured at CLYO, which is the closest sampling point to the harbor, shows that release rates of 3600cfs do not significantly affect DO.  As far as the harbor is concerned, inflows from ocean tides are on the order of 10X the flows from the river.  Hence DO in the harbor is controlled by the ocean rather than the river.

·       Water Supply proved adequate during extended operation at 3600cfs in the past.

·       Hydro Power is like all other forms of renewable energy.  The quantity of power will vary with weather conditions.  Hence trying to maintain release rates in excess of what weather provides is counter to the very nature of renewable power sources.

·       The economics of Hydro Power do not justify destroying lake levels to hold up power production.  First SEPA has 8 basins they draw from and seldom are all in drought at the same time.  Hence low power from our area can easily be made up from increased power production from the other areas.  Besides, the monetary losses to recreational concerns (includes all the homes built on the lakes for the purpose of recreation) when lake levels fall 10’ or more, far exceeds the gains in power production costs.

If you are talking to your congressmen or corps management, do not hesitate to quote our thinking on drought management for the Savannah River Basin.  Should you find they don’t agree with our thinking, invite them to publish their arguments the same way we have so everyone can see the two sides to this argument.